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FA CupRef: Dean Watson
Full time

This match had stats and in-play prices; no live commentary or momentum.

Harrogate Town 3-1 Bury result, stats and report

3 – 1
FT 05:36
Lost
Bury
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Harrogate TownBuryFA Cup

The provider forecast gives Harrogate Town win the highest 1X2 probability at 66.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HAT
66.5%
Draw
17.3%
BRY
16.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.5%
Over 2.5 goals
64.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Harrogate Town win was the highest probability; the match result was Harrogate Town win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

66%
17%
16%
66.5%HAT
17.3%Draw
16.2%BRY

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.5%No 42.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 64.4%No 35.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates HAT or draw at 66.3%; the most likely half-time state is HAT leading at half-time at 44.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 19.8%.

Double Chance

1X
66.3%
12
3.8%
X2
29.9%

Half-Time Result

HAT
44.9%
Draw
37.8%
BRY
17.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
HAT
Draw
BRY
HAT
41.2%
4.0%
1.6%
Draw
18.0%
11.2%
6.8%
BRY
3.3%
3.3%
10.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
19.8%
No
80.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.