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Published Match Preview
By Rafael Mbeki · ·
Atalanta travel to Tel Aviv on Thursday 27 August carrying four injuries and a troubling run of results, while Hapoel have kept consecutive clean sheets at home. Rafael Mbeki assesses whether class will overcome circumstance in the Europa Conference League.
Read the full match preview →This is a Conference League tie between sides separated by quality and European pedigree. Atalanta sit higher in Serie A and bring superior attacking output; our model suggests they carry advantage despite Hapoel's resilience at home. Both teams showed attacking intent in their first meeting. The return fixture carries knockout implications for progression.
Hapoel Tel Aviv show mixed form with 2 draws and 1 loss across their last 5 matches. They drew 0-0 at Atalanta most recently, then lost 1-2 at Katowice before that. Defensively fragile; 33 per cent clean sheets. They've scored 3 goals in this run but conceded 4. BTTS registered in 67 per cent of their fixtures.
Atalanta arrive with 2 wins from their last 5, though inconsistency marks their form string DWLDW. They generated 2.78 xG against Hapoel in their 0-0 draw and have scored 10 goals across this sequence. However, clean sheets prove elusive at 20 per cent; BTTS hit 80 per cent of their matches.
Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
