Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Bundesliga · MW9 MEWA ARENA, Mainz

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
7 Nov
FSV Mainz 05 15%Draw 20%Bayern München 65%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
Skip match sections

Should you back FSV Mainz 05 or Bayern München?

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München kicks off UK time in the Bundesliga. The match is at MEWA ARENA, Mainz. Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No at a 45.5% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with FSV Mainz 05 winning 0, Bayern München winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Bayern München has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw19.7%
BTTS yes54.5%

Updated

Over 2.560.6%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
13.6
xG for
16▲ +2.4
Goals
10.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
20.2
xG for
23▲ +2.8
Goals
6.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
FSV Mainz 05Newest first

Goalsoutlined xG

FSV Mainz 05 recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L21.93
2W10.98
3L32.72
4W42.85
5L12.41
6W52.71
Bayern MünchenNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Bayern München recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W31.91
2D22.26
3W64.18
4D33.55
5D25.36
6W72.98
FSV Mainz 05 have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 9 points against 10.2 expected. Bayern München have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 12 points against 14.4 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
FSV Mainz 05 generated 13.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 16, 2.4 above that chance total. Bayern München generated 20.2 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 23, 2.8 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

FSV Mainz 05: 6 matches · Bayern München: 6
Recent team comparison. FSV Mainz 05 sample 6; Bayern München sample 6.
MeasureFSV Mainz 05Bayern München
Goals / game2.673.83
Conceded / game2.171.5
xG / game2.273.37
xG conceded / game1.81.12
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München

Checking listings for your country…

Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:30
FSV Mainz 0511 starters
48Potulski
2Mwene
4Posch
22Veratschnig
25Hanche-Olsen
21Costa
6Sano
10Amiri
7Lee
11Sieb
20Tietz
Bayern München11 starters
1Neuer
2Upamecano
4Tah
27Laimer
19Davies
45Pavlovic
6Kimmichdoubt
11Jackson
9Kane
17Olisedoubt
14Díaz
Out / doubtful
🩹 Dominik Kohr injury · 🩹 Maxim Leitsch injury · 🩹 Nadiem Amiri injury · 🩹 Silas injury · 🩹 Robin Zentner injury · 🩹 Min-jae Kim injury · 🩹 Aleksandar Pavlovic injury · 🩹 Luis Díaz injury · ❓ Joshua Kimmich suspended · ❓ Michael Olise suspended · 🩹 Jamal Musiala injury · 🩹 Manuel Neuer injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 12 Oct 2026, 02:50 BST

Mainz's Injury Crisis Makes Bayern's Visit Look Ominous

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München on Saturday carrying a worrying injury list and inconsistent form. The visitors arrive unbeaten in their last five Bundesliga matches and will fancy their chances.

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
    FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München takes place on Saturday 7 November at 14:30 (UK time) in the Bundesliga at MEWA ARENA, Mainz.
  • Who is the model backing in FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No (btts), with around 46% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
    In their last 2 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 0, Bayern München won 1, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
  • How can I watch FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Bundesliga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 7 Nov, 14:30 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.