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Serie A · MW3Ref: Mario Perri
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Frosinone 3-2 Venezia result, stats and report

Frosinone
Won · xG 0.82
3 – 2
FT 09:25
Lost · xG 1.02
Venezia
Next: Frosinone v Sassuolo · Fri 16 Oct · Venezia v Napoli · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FrosinoneVeneziaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Frosinone win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

FRO
40.7%
Draw
25.8%
VEN
33.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.7%
Over 2.5 goals
51.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Frosinone win was the highest probability; the match result was Frosinone win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
26%
33%
40.7%FRO
25.8%Draw
33.5%VEN

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.7%No 44.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.9%No 48.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VEN or draw at 47.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.0%.

Double Chance

1X
45.7%
12
6.9%
X2
47.4%

Half-Time Result

FRO
30.9%
Draw
39.2%
VEN
29.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FRO
Draw
VEN
FRO
22.6%
5.5%
2.7%
Draw
14.2%
15.1%
10.1%
VEN
2.9%
6.1%
20.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.0%
No
94.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.