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UEFA Champions League · MW3 Fußball Arena München, München

From kick-off: in-play prices. No live commentary, stats or momentum for this competition.

Bayern München vs Arsenal prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
21 Oct
Bayern München 53%Draw 22%Arsenal 25%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Bayern München or Arsenal?

Bayern München vs Arsenal kicks off UK time in the UEFA Champions League. The match is at Fußball Arena München, München. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Bayern München has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw22.4%
Arsenal24.6%
BTTS yes63.9%

Updated

Over 2.568.5%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
13.6
xG for
24▲ +10.4
Goals
3.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
11.5
xG for
10▼ -1.5
Goals
5.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
Bayern MünchenNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Bayern München recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W72.98
2W22.38
3W52.46
4D01.31
5W51.48
6W52.98
ArsenalNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Arsenal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.37
2W41.12
3W22.14
4W13.60
5W22.06
6W11.22
Bayern München have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 11.4 expected. Arsenal have taken more points than their chances were worth: 15 points against 12.1 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Bayern München generated 13.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 24, 10.4 above that chance total. Arsenal generated 11.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 1.5 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Bayern München: 6 matches · Arsenal: 6
Recent team comparison. Bayern München sample 6; Arsenal sample 6.
MeasureBayern MünchenArsenal
Goals / game41.67
Conceded / game0.51
xG / game2.271.92
xG conceded / game0.620.83
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Bayern München v Arsenal

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Bayern München11 starters
1Neuer
34Ofli
2Upamecano
19Davies
4Tah
45Pavlovic
6Kimmich
11Jackson
17Olise
14Díaz
9Kane
Arsenal11 starters
1Raya
6Gabriel
33Calafiori
49Lewis-Skelly
4White
3Mosquera
8Ødegaard
41Rice
23Merino
7Saka
29Havertz
Out / doubtful
🩹 Konrad Laimer injury · 🩹 Jamal Musiala injury · 🩹 Ben White injury · 🩹 Kai Havertz injury · 🩹 Cristhian Mosquera injury · 🩹 William Saliba injury · 🩹 Jurriën Timber injury · 🩹 Piero Hincapié injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Bayern München v Arsenal · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Bayern München vs Arsenal?
    Bayern München vs Arsenal takes place on Wednesday 21 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the UEFA Champions League at Fußball Arena München, München.
  • How can I watch Bayern München vs Arsenal?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Champions League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Bayern München vs Arsenal free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Bayern München vs Arsenal are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 21 Oct, 20:00 BST

No alternative Tips are published right now

The public ledger and methodology remain available, and you can follow this fixture for the next verified match update.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.