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Ben Krauhaus with the opener 🙌 Back the Bairns at McDiarmid Park, get your tickets here ➡️
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Scottish Premiership · MW3Ref: John Beaton
Full time
Falkirk 2-1 Hearts result, stats and report
Next: St. Johnstone v Falkirk · Sat 19 Sept · Kilmarnock v Hearts · Sat 19 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Hearts win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- FAL
- 32.2%
- Draw
- 24.5%
- HEA
- 43.2%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 61.3%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59.5%
Forecast result checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus value
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | won |
| Half-time / full-time | lost |
| Half-time result | won |
| Over 1.5 goals | won |
| Over 2.5 goals | won |
| Over 3.5 goals | won |
| Full-time result | lost |
| Double chance | lost |
| Correct score | lost |
| Both teams to score in both halves | won |
Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
32%
25%
43%
32.2%FAL
24.5%Draw
43.2%HEA
Both Teams to Score
Yes 61.3%No 38.7%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Yes 59.5%No 40.5%
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
38%
Most Likely Correct Scores
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
More markets
On the double chance our model rates HEA or draw at 50.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.
Double Chance
1X
44.4%
12
5.0%
X2
50.7%
Half-Time Result
FAL
29.5%
Draw
38.1%
HEA
32.4%
Half-Time / Full-Time
HT \ FT
FAL
Draw
HEA
FAL
20.1%
5.0%
3.0%
Draw
12.3%
13.9%
12.8%
HEA
2.1%
6.9%
23.9%
BTTS in Both Halves
Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
@BBCSportScot