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Liga Portugal · MW5Ref: Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira
Full time

Estrela Amadora 2-2 Famalicão result, stats and report

Estrela Amadora
Drew · xG 1.14
2 – 2
FT
Drew · xG 1.54
Famalicão
Next: Estrela Amadora v Academico Viseu · Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Estrela AmadoraFamalicãoLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Famalicão win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

EST
34.1%
Draw
29.3%
FAM
36.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.1%
Over 2.5 goals
42.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
29%
37%
34.1%EST
29.3%Draw
36.6%FAM

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.1%No 50.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 42.4%No 57.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FAM or draw at 47.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 49.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.0%.

Double Chance

1X
42.1%
12
10.2%
X2
47.8%

Half-Time Result

EST
22.5%
Draw
49.4%
FAM
28.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
EST
Draw
FAM
EST
16.3%
5.4%
2.4%
Draw
12.6%
20.2%
15.2%
FAM
2.0%
5.3%
20.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.0%
No
97.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.