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2. Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Michael Bacher
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli result, stats and report

Energie Cottbus
Drew · xG 0.94
1 – 1
FT 01:16
Drew · xG 0.81
FC St. Pauli
Next: 1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus · Sat 24 Oct · Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli · Fri 23 Oct
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Who won Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?

Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli, full time in the 2. Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

Match Review · published 20 Sept 2026, 17:30 BST

Kaars Header Rescues Cottbus: Energie Draw 1-1 With FC St. Pauli Despite Going Down to Ten Men

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Energie Cottbus salvaged a 1-1 draw against FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, with substitute Martijn Kaars heading home in the 80th minute despite Cottbus finishing the match with ten men. St. Pauli dominated the game but could not hold on for t…

Read the review
How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 01:16Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Energie Cottbus 1–1 FC St. Pauli

Energie Cottbus salvaged a 1-1 draw against FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, with substitute Martijn Kaars heading home in the 80th minute despite Cottbus finishing the match with ten men. St. Pauli dominated the game but could not hold on for the win.

Key Takeaways
Result

Energie Cottbus and FC St. Pauli drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
37'⚽
Justin Butler
MAssist: Moritz Hannemann
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Energie Cottbus 0.94 xGFC St. Pauli 0.81 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Energie Cottbus to win

38%Missed

Result

Energie Cottbus1:1FC St. Pauli

Energie Cottbus v FC St. Pauli

Our model leaned Energie Cottbus to win at 38%. Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Energie Cottbus host FC St. Pauli on Sunday, 20 September at 11:30 UTC in the 2. Bundesliga. Cottbus have won one of their last five matches while St. Pauli remain winless in their last five, drawing twice. Both sides have shown attacking intent; Cottbus scored in 33 percent of recent games while St. Pauli found the net in all five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Energie Cottbus v FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Martijn KaarsFC St. Pauli★ MOTM1 goal · 33 min7.3
  2. Connor MetcalfeFC St. Pauli90 min7.3
  3. Ricky-Jade JonesFC St. Pauli1 assist · 15 min7.2
  4. Eric SmithFC St. Pauli90 min7.0
  5. David NemethFC St. Pauli90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Energie Cottbus win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Energie Cottbus
37.6%
Draw
25.1%
FC St. Pauli
37.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.5%
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Energie Cottbus win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Energie Cottbus and FC St. Pauli, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 23league matches away from home unbeaten for FC St. Pauli.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • FC St. Pauli scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • FC St. Pauli have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Dmytro Bogdanov has the highest listed average xGOT for Energie Cottbus at 0.64 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Marcus Mathisen has the highest listed average xGOT for FC St. Pauli at 0.62 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Justin Butler opened the scoring in the 37th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Justin Butler (37'), Martijn Kaars (80').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Michael Bacher officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Energie Cottbus play 1. FC Heidenheim on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. FC St. Pauli play Darmstadt 98 on Friday, 23 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.