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2. Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Michael Bacher
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli result, stats and report

Energie Cottbus
Drew · xG 0.94
1 – 1
FT 01:16
Drew · xG 0.81
FC St. Pauli
Next: 1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus · Sat 24 Oct · Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli · Fri 23 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Energie CottbusFC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Energie Cottbus win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Energie Cottbus
37.6%
Draw
25.1%
FC St. Pauli
37.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.5%
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Energie Cottbus win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
25%
37%
37.6%Energie Cottbus
25.1%Draw
37.3%FC St. Pauli

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 60.5%No 39.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.2%No 41.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FC St. Pauli or draw at 50.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.0%.

Double Chance

1X
43.7%
12
5.6%
X2
50.6%

Half-Time Result

Energie Cottbus
28.3%
Draw
38.5%
FC St. Pauli
33.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Energie Cottbus
Draw
FC St. Pauli
Energie Cottbus
19.9%
5.3%
3.5%
Draw
11.1%
15.8%
12.7%
FC St. Pauli
2.7%
6.0%
23.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.0%
No
93.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.