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2. Bundesliga · MW3Ref: Felix Weller
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Energie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth result, stats and report

Energie Cottbus
Lost · xG 1.39
3 – 4
FT
Won · xG 1.38
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Energie Cottbus v Nürnberg · Fri 16 Oct · SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Eintracht Braunschweig · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Energie Cottbus
37.8%
Draw
24.0%
GRF
38.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.6%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
24%
38%
37.8%Energie Cottbus
24.0%Draw
38.2%GRF

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
2-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates GRF or draw at 50.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.4%.

Double Chance

1X
43.6%
12
5.7%
X2
50.8%

Half-Time Result

Energie Cottbus
27.8%
Draw
39.8%
GRF
32.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Energie Cottbus
Draw
GRF
Energie Cottbus
18.1%
5.3%
3.6%
Draw
11.2%
13.3%
15.5%
GRF
2.5%
5.1%
25.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.4%
No
93.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.