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2. Bundesliga · MW8Ref: Michael Bacher
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Osnabrück result, stats and report

DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Won · xG 1.43
2 – 1
FT 22:45
Lost · xG 0.45
Osnabrück
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: DSC Arminia Bielefeld v Magdeburg · Fri 20 Nov · Karlsruher SC v Osnabrück · Sun 22 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

DSC Arminia BielefeldOsnabrück2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives DSC Arminia Bielefeld win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BIE
46.6%
Draw
25.9%
Osnabrück
27.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.0%
Over 2.5 goals
52.8%

Full-time forecast audit: DSC Arminia Bielefeld win was the highest probability; the match result was DSC Arminia Bielefeld win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
26%
27%
46.6%BIE
25.9%Draw
27.5%Osnabrück

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.0%No 45.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.8%No 47.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BIE or draw at 50.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.2%.

Double Chance

1X
50.5%
12
7.4%
X2
42.1%

Half-Time Result

BIE
35.3%
Draw
39.6%
Osnabrück
25.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BIE
Draw
Osnabrück
BIE
28.9%
4.9%
2.5%
Draw
14.8%
14.4%
9.5%
Osnabrück
3.5%
5.6%
15.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.2%
No
91.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.