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2. Bundesliga · MW4Ref: Felix Prigan
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli result, stats and report

DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Drew · xG 0.63
2 – 2
FT
Drew · xG 0.36
FC St. Pauli
Next: DSC Arminia Bielefeld v Osnabrück · Sun 18 Oct · Hannover 96 v FC St. Pauli · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

DSC Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives DSC Arminia Bielefeld win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BIE
56.8%
Draw
23.3%
FC St. Pauli
19.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.9%
Over 2.5 goals
54.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
23%
20%
56.8%BIE
23.3%Draw
19.9%FC St. Pauli

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.9%No 47.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BIE or draw at 61.0%; the most likely half-time state is BIE leading at half-time at 41.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.7%.

Double Chance

1X
61.0%
12
6.2%
X2
32.8%

Half-Time Result

BIE
41.4%
Draw
40.0%
FC St. Pauli
18.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BIE
Draw
FC St. Pauli
BIE
36.2%
4.8%
1.7%
Draw
19.4%
13.4%
6.1%
FC St. Pauli
4.1%
4.4%
9.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.7%
No
88.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.