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League One · MW5Ref: Matthew Corlett
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Doncaster Rovers 2-3 Plymouth Argyle result, stats and report

Doncaster Rovers
Lost · xG 1.79
2 – 3
FT 12:05
Won · xG 1.00
Plymouth Argyle
Next: Leicester v Doncaster Rovers · Sat 17 Oct · Plymouth Argyle v Huddersfield Town · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Doncaster RoversPlymouth ArgyleLeague One

The provider forecast gives Plymouth Argyle win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

DNR
32.3%
Draw
27.3%
PLA
40.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.5%
Over 2.5 goals
45.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Plymouth Argyle win was the highest probability; the match result was Plymouth Argyle win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
27%
40%
32.3%DNR
27.3%Draw
40.4%PLA

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 45.4%No 54.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PLA or draw at 51.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.9%.

Double Chance

1X
39.1%
12
9.8%
X2
51.1%

Half-Time Result

DNR
25.8%
Draw
38.4%
PLA
35.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
DNR
Draw
PLA
DNR
16.7%
4.9%
3.3%
Draw
9.0%
14.5%
15.4%
PLA
2.0%
5.3%
28.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.9%
No
97.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.