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League One · MW4Ref: Zac Kennard-Kettle
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Notts County result, stats and report

Doncaster Rovers
Drew · xG 0.92
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 1.20
Notts County
Next: Leicester v Doncaster Rovers · Sat 17 Oct · Wycombe Wanderers v Notts County · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Doncaster RoversNotts CountyLeague One

The provider forecast gives Doncaster Rovers win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

DNR
37.0%
Draw
29.1%
NOT
33.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.6%
Over 2.5 goals
40.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
29%
34%
37.0%DNR
29.1%Draw
33.9%NOT

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 45.6%No 54.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

40%
Yes 40.2%No 59.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates DNR or draw at 44.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.2%.

Double Chance

1X
44.5%
12
11.0%
X2
44.5%

Half-Time Result

DNR
26.7%
Draw
46.3%
NOT
27.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
DNR
Draw
NOT
DNR
20.3%
5.7%
2.4%
Draw
12.4%
17.3%
14.9%
NOT
2.5%
5.2%
19.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.