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Ligue 2 · MW8Ref: Marc Bollengier
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Dijon 4-2 Metz result, stats and report

Dijon
Won · xG 1.86
4 – 2
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 1.56
Metz
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Dijon v Red Star · Fri 6 Nov · Montpellier v Metz · Fri 6 Nov
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Who won Dijon vs Metz?

Dijon 4-2 Metz, full time in Ligue 2. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Dijon won it 4–2

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Dijon 4–2 Metz

Dijon have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last five Ligue 2 matches. Metz arrive on Monday without a defeat in five. Something has to give.

Key Takeaways
Result

Dijon beat Metz 4-2 at home.

Goals

6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
H
19'⚽
Hugo Vargas-Ríos
PAssist: Paul Bellon
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Dijon 1.86 xGMetz 1.56 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Dijon to win

47%Matched

Result

Dijon4:2Metz

Dijon v Metz

Our model called Dijon to win at 47%. Dijon 4-2 Metz. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Dijon beat Metz 4-2 in Ligue 2, landing our model's 47 percent pick for a home win. The hosts took control early through goals from Hugo Vargas-Ríos, Ange Lago, and Julio Tavarès by the 32nd minute, establishing commanding momentum. Metz mounted a second-half response but could not close the gap. Both sides found the net, extending Dijon's run of both-teams-scoring matches to five consecutive games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Dijon v Metz · Ligue 2 ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Ange LagoDijon★ MOTM1 goal · 62 min7.2
  2. Ibou SanéMetz24 min7.1
  3. Jean RuizMetz90 min7.0
  4. Jessy DeminguetMetz1 assist · 90 min6.9
  5. Florian MiguelMetz66 min6.8

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Dijon win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Dijon
46.7%
Draw
25.3%
Metz
28.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.8%
Over 2.5 goals
57.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Dijon win was the highest probability; the match result was Dijon win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Metz, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 24 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Metz, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Dijon, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 24 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Dijon, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 83 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between Dijon and Metz, landing 2 times across 5 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 3/5recorded league meetings saw both teams score (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 28league matches away from home unbeaten for Metz.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Dijon scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Metz scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Dijon have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Dijon vs Metz?
    Dijon beat Metz 4-2 in the Ligue 2.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Hugo Vargas-Ríos opened the scoring in the 19th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Hugo Vargas-Ríos (19'), Ange Lago (24'), Julio Tavarès (32'), Pape Moussa Fall (44'), Quentin Bernard (69'), Pape Moussa Fall (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Marc Bollengier officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Dijon vs Metz kicked off on Monday, 12 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Dijon play Red Star on Friday, 6 November 2026 UK time. Metz play Montpellier on Friday, 6 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.