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EFL Championship · MW7 Pride Park Stadium, DerbyRef: John Busby
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Derby 1-2 Birmingham result, stats and report

Derby
Derby
Lost · xG 1.18
1 – 2
FT
Birmingham
Won · xG 2.63
Birmingham
Match review
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Derby vs Birmingham: what we can confirm

Derby vs Birmingham has finished in the EFL Championship. Played UK time.

Match Review · published 12 Sept 2026, 15:00 BST

Birmingham Win 2-1 at Derby Despite Rams' Dominance in Shots and Chances

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Birmingham took all three points at Pride Park despite Derby creating more and hitting the woodwork, with Bobby Clark's first-half goal and a Seung-ho Paik equaliser setting up a result that Derby's shot count simply did not deserve.

Read the review
How it played out

Birmingham won it 2–1

DerbyBirmingham

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Provider final · 23:45 · archive check in progressFull stats

The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.

📊 Match recap and data context

Derby host Birmingham at Pride Park Stadium on September 12, 2026, at 11:30 UTC in the EFL Championship. Derby have won two of their last five matches but lost three, while Birmingham arrive unbeaten in their last five outings. The head-to-head record favours Derby, who won their sole recent meeting. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Derby v Birmingham · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Bobby ClarkDerby★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.8
  2. Eiran Cashin85 min7.7
  3. Dael Fry10 min7.5
  4. Liam Millar2 assists · 73 min7.5
  5. Jacob Widell ZetterströmDerby90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

DerbyBirminghamEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Birmingham win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Derby
33.1%
Draw
27.1%
Birmingham
39.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.0%
Over 2.5 goals
46.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

No alternative Tips are published right now

This fixture has ended. The public ledger and methodology remain available for the final pre-match decision.

View the Tips ledgerHow Tips qualify
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Derby and Birmingham, landing 3 times across 16 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 10/16recorded league meetings saw both teams score (62.5%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6league matches at home unbeaten for Derby.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Birmingham.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Derby scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Derby have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Birmingham have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Carlton Morris has the highest listed average xGOT for Derby at 0.59 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Phil Neumann has the highest listed average xGOT for Birmingham at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Derby vs Birmingham?
    Birmingham beat Derby 2-1 in the EFL Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Bobby Clark opened the scoring in the 40th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Bobby Clark (40'), Carlos Vicente (42'), Seung-ho Paik (63').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    John Busby officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Derby vs Birmingham kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at Pride Park Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.