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Premier League · MW8 Selhurst Park, LondonRef: Paul Tierney

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
11h 56m
Crystal Palace 42%Draw 24%Newcastle United 34%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Crystal Palace or Newcastle United?

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United kicks off UK time in the Premier League. The match is at Selhurst Park, London. Our model's pick is Crystal Palace to win at a 42% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Crystal Palace winning 1, Newcastle United winning 1 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Crystal Palace has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
BTTS yes60.6%

Updated

Over 2.559.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Crystal Palace and Newcastle United, landing 6 times across 24 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 8/24recorded league meetings saw both teams score (33.3%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Crystal Palace scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Newcastle United scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Crystal Palace have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Newcastle United have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Nick Pope has the highest listed average xGOT for Newcastle United at 0.47 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 7

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
8.6
xG for
11▲ +2.4
Goals
10.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
8.3
xG for
7▼ -1.3
Goals
8.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
Crystal PalaceNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Crystal Palace recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D20.59
2L00.56
3L22.35
4W32.16
5D00.88
6W42.07
Newcastle UnitedNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Newcastle United recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.30
2L12.26
3W21.36
4L10.77
5W12.02
6D20.59
Crystal Palace have taken more points than their chances were worth: 8 points against 6.9 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Crystal Palace generated 8.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 2.4 above that chance total. Newcastle United generated 8.3 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 7, 1.3 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Crystal Palace: 6 matches · Newcastle United: 6
Recent team comparison. Crystal Palace sample 6; Newcastle United sample 6.
MeasureCrystal PalaceNewcastle United
Goals / game1.831.17
Conceded / game1.832
xG / game1.431.38
xG conceded / game1.821.48
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Crystal Palace v Newcastle United

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:00
Newcastle United11 starters
3Hall
4Botman
12Thiaw
28Willock
8Tonali
67Miley
39Guimarães
10Gordon
11Barnes
9Wissa
23Murphy
Out / doubtful
🩹 Chadi Riad injury · 🩹 Ismaïla Sarr injury · 🩹 Tino Livramento injury · 🩹 Joelinton injury · 🩹 Dan Burn injury · 🩹 William Osula injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

Crystal Palace face Newcastle United at Selhurst Park on October 25 at 14:00 UTC in a Premier League fixture where our model backs Palace to win at 42 percent probability. Palace have won one of their last five matches with no draws or losses; Newcastle show identical recent form. Head-to-head records are even, with each side claiming one win from their last two meetings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United · Premier League ·

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
    Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United takes place on Sunday 25 October at 14:00 (UK time) in the Premier League at Selhurst Park, London.
  • Who is the model backing in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
    Our model's pick is Crystal Palace to win (match result), with around 42% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Newcastle United?
    In their last 2 meetings, Crystal Palace won 1, Newcastle United won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Premier League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 25 Oct, 14:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.