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UEFA Europa League · MW1 Selhurst Park, LondonRef: Michal Očenáš
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Crystal Palace 4-0 Lech Poznań result, stats and report

Crystal Palace
Won · xG 2.07
4 – 0
FT 12:35
Lost · xG 1.36
Lech Poznań
Next: Fulham v Crystal Palace · Wed 28 Oct · Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznań · Sun 25 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Crystal PalaceLech PoznańUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Lech Poznań win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Crystal Palace
34.1%
Draw
24.1%
LEC
41.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.4%
Over 2.5 goals
55.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Lech Poznań win was the highest probability; the match result was Crystal Palace win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
24%
42%
34.1%Crystal Palace
24.1%Draw
41.8%LEC

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 55.8%No 44.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEC or draw at 53.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.2%.

Double Chance

1X
40.8%
12
5.8%
X2
53.5%

Half-Time Result

Crystal Palace
23.8%
Draw
40.9%
LEC
35.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Crystal Palace
Draw
LEC
Crystal Palace
15.1%
4.1%
3.3%
Draw
10.8%
13.5%
15.8%
LEC
1.5%
5.5%
30.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.2%
No
94.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.