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Serie B · MW3 Stadio Giovanni Zini, CremonaRef: Gianluca Manganiello
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Cremonese 3-1 Calcio Padova result, stats and report

3 – 1
FT
Next: Vicenza v Cremonese · Sun 8 Nov · Calcio Padova v Empoli · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CremoneseCalcio PadovaSerie B

The provider forecast gives Cremonese win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Cremonese
42.6%
Draw
28.5%
PAD
28.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.7%
Over 2.5 goals
42.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
29%
29%
42.6%Cremonese
28.5%Draw
28.9%PAD

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 47.7%No 52.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 42.3%No 57.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Cremonese or draw at 50.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.6%.

Double Chance

1X
50.6%
12
10.5%
X2
38.9%

Half-Time Result

Cremonese
29.8%
Draw
47.2%
PAD
23.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Cremonese
Draw
PAD
Cremonese
21.7%
5.3%
1.9%
Draw
15.6%
20.6%
11.2%
PAD
2.0%
4.8%
16.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.6%
No
95.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.