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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW10Ref: Tomasz Marciniak
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Cracovia Kraków 3-1 Zagłębie Lubin result, stats and report

Cracovia Kraków
Won · xG 2.21
3 – 1
FT 04:35
Lost · xG 1.15
Zagłębie Lubin
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Cracovia Kraków v Motor Lublin · Fri 30 Oct · Zagłębie Lubin v Korona Kielce · Mon 2 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Cracovia KrakówZagłębie LubinPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Cracovia Kraków win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CRA
45.2%
Draw
25.1%
ZAG
29.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
53.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Cracovia Kraków win was the highest probability; the match result was Cracovia Kraków win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
25%
30%
45.2%CRA
25.1%Draw
29.7%ZAG

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.3%No 43.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.0%No 47.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CRA or draw at 53.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.3%.

Double Chance

1X
53.5%
12
6.6%
X2
39.8%

Half-Time Result

CRA
34.4%
Draw
44.0%
ZAG
21.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CRA
Draw
ZAG
CRA
25.2%
6.1%
3.1%
Draw
16.1%
16.7%
10.6%
ZAG
2.6%
5.3%
14.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.3%
No
93.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.