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Premier League · MW6 The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West MidlandsRef: John Brooks
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Coventry 4-1 Newcastle United result, stats and report

Coventry
Won · xG 1.70
4 – 1
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 2.26
Newcastle United
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Everton v Coventry · Fri 6 Nov · Newcastle United v Everton · Mon 2 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CoventryNewcastle UnitedPremier League

The provider forecast gives Newcastle United win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Coventry
36.1%
Draw
24.4%
Newcastle United
39.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.5%
Over 2.5 goals
60.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Newcastle United win was the highest probability; the match result was Coventry win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
24%
39%
36.1%Coventry
24.4%Draw
39.5%Newcastle United

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 62.5%No 37.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 60.6%No 39.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Coventry or draw at 48.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.3%.

Double Chance

1X
48.5%
12
4.8%
X2
46.6%

Half-Time Result

Coventry
29.5%
Draw
42.0%
Newcastle United
28.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Coventry
Draw
Newcastle United
Coventry
22.4%
5.3%
3.4%
Draw
13.2%
14.9%
12.0%
Newcastle United
2.8%
5.4%
20.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.3%
No
92.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.