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UEFA Champions League · MW1Ref: Sandro Schärer
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Club Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa result, stats and report

Club Brugge
Lost · xG 1.61
2 – 3
FT 14:15
Won · xG 2.23
Aston Villa
Next: Club Brugge v Sint-Truiden · Sun 25 Oct · Aston Villa v Manchester City · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Club BruggeAston VillaUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Club Brugge win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BRU
57.8%
Draw
21.1%
Aston Villa
21.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.9%
Over 2.5 goals
57.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Club Brugge win was the highest probability; the match result was Aston Villa win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

58%
21%
21%
57.8%BRU
21.1%Draw
21.0%Aston Villa

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.9%No 47.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.5%No 42.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
10.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BRU or draw at 61.2%; the most likely half-time state is BRU leading at half-time at 43.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 13.6%.

Double Chance

1X
61.2%
12
5.5%
X2
33.4%

Half-Time Result

BRU
43.3%
Draw
35.3%
Aston Villa
21.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BRU
Draw
Aston Villa
BRU
38.1%
3.9%
2.1%
Draw
18.1%
10.2%
6.7%
Aston Villa
4.3%
4.1%
12.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
13.6%
No
86.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.