Chesterfield fell to Notts County 0-1 in League Two despite arriving on a four-win run. Our model favoured the hosts at 54 percent probability, but the visitors held firm to secure three points. Chesterfield had managed both goals in four of their last five outings, yet could not break through a Notts County defence that conceded sparingly in recent weeks. The result leaves the head-to-head record level at one win apiece. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The result kept Notts County in 5th place with momentum restored after consecutive defeats. Chesterfield remained 6th but saw their recent winning streak halted; they had claimed 7 points from their prior four matches before this setback. Our model indicated Notts County's superior defensive structure warranted favouritism in this fixture, and the outcome reflected that underlying advantage.

Chesterfield v Notts County · League Two · 10/05/2026, 18:00:00