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Carabao Cup Stamford Bridge, LondonRef: Elliot Bell
Full time

Chelsea 2-0 Luton Town result, stats and report

Chelsea
Won ยท xG 1.70
2 โ€“ 0
FT 06:25
Lost ยท xG 0.19
Luton Town
Next: Brentford v Chelsea ยท Fri 18 Sept ยท Luton Town v Bradford City ยท Sat 19 Sept
Skip match sections

Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ChelseaLuton TownCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Chelsea win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Chelsea
48.0%
Draw
22.0%
LUT
30.0%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
60.3%
Over 2.5 goals
62.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Chelsea win was the highest probability; the match result was Chelsea win.

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
22%
30%
48.0%Chelsea
22.0%Draw
30.0%LUT

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.3%No 39.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 62.0%No 38.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Chelsea or draw at 59.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.2%.

Double Chance

1X
59.6%
12
4.4%
X2
36.0%

Half-Time Result

Chelsea
36.8%
Draw
38.5%
LUT
24.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Chelsea
Draw
LUT
Chelsea
27.8%
5.5%
2.5%
Draw
14.2%
14.3%
11.3%
LUT
2.3%
3.8%
18.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.2%
No
89.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.