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Carabao Cup Stamford Bridge, LondonRef: Jarred Gillett
Full time

Chelsea 6-3 Leeds result, stats and report

Chelsea
Won ยท xG 2.38
6 โ€“ 3
FT
Lost ยท xG 2.44
Leeds
Next: Brentford v Chelsea ยท Fri 18 Sept ยท Leeds v Crystal Palace ยท Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ChelseaLeedsCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Chelsea win the highest 1X2 probability at 58.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Chelsea
58.0%
Draw
20.9%
Leeds
21.1%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
57.1%
Over 2.5 goals
60.8%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

58%
21%
21%
58.0%Chelsea
20.9%Draw
21.1%Leeds

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 60.8%No 39.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.1%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Chelsea or draw at 61.5%; the most likely half-time state is Chelsea leading at half-time at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 14.0%.

Double Chance

1X
61.5%
12
4.7%
X2
33.8%

Half-Time Result

Chelsea
41.2%
Draw
39.1%
Leeds
19.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Chelsea
Draw
Leeds
Chelsea
36.4%
4.6%
1.7%
Draw
17.1%
12.2%
8.6%
Leeds
2.9%
4.3%
12.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
14.0%
No
86.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.