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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Ceuta dominated large portions of this La Liga 2 contest and looked set for a first win in six attempts, only for Real Valladolid substitute Carlos Hernández to equalise deep into stoppage time and deny them three points they badly needed.
Ceuta dominated large portions of this La Liga 2 contest and looked set for a first win in six attempts, only for Real Valladolid substitute Carlos Hernández to equalise deep into stoppage time and deny them three points they badly needed.
La Liga 2Sun 20 Sept, 15:15
Key Takeaways
Result
Ceuta and Real Valladolid drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
53'⚽
Juanmi Latasa
JAssist: Julien Ponceau
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceuta 1.17 xGReal Valladolid 1.12 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Ceuta to win
40%Missed
Result
1:1
CEU v REV
Our model leaned Ceuta to win at 40%. Ceuta 1-1 Real Valladolid. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Ceuta and Real Valladolid drew 1-1 in La Liga 2, with Juanmi Latasa giving Valladolid the lead in the 53rd minute before Carlos Hernández equalized deep into stoppage time at the 90+11 mark. Our model favored a Ceuta win at 40 percent probability, a pick that missed. Both sides found the net despite Valladolid's recent struggles; Ceuta entered the match having won two of their last five while Valladolid had managed just two draws in the same span. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Ceuta win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
CEU
40.1%
Draw
26.2%
REV
33.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.8%
Full-time forecast audit: Ceuta win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.