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La Liga 2 · MW6Ref: Saúl Ais Reig
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Ceuta 1-1 Real Valladolid result, stats and report

Ceuta
Drew · xG 1.17
1 – 1
FT 03:15
Drew · xG 1.12
Real Valladolid
Next: Cádiz v Ceuta · Sun 25 Oct · Covadonga v Real Valladolid · Wed 28 Oct
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Who won Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?

Ceuta 1-1 Real Valladolid, full time in La Liga 2. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 03:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Ceuta 1–1 Real Valladolid

Ceuta dominated large portions of this La Liga 2 contest and looked set for a first win in six attempts, only for Real Valladolid substitute Carlos Hernández to equalise deep into stoppage time and deny them three points they badly needed.

Key Takeaways
Result

Ceuta and Real Valladolid drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
53'⚽
Juanmi Latasa
JAssist: Julien Ponceau
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceuta 1.17 xGReal Valladolid 1.12 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Ceuta to win

40%Missed

Result

Ceuta1:1Real Valladolid

CEU v REV

Our model leaned Ceuta to win at 40%. Ceuta 1-1 Real Valladolid. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Ceuta and Real Valladolid drew 1-1 in La Liga 2, with Juanmi Latasa giving Valladolid the lead in the 53rd minute before Carlos Hernández equalized deep into stoppage time at the 90+11 mark. Our model favored a Ceuta win at 40 percent probability, a pick that missed. Both sides found the net despite Valladolid's recent struggles; Ceuta entered the match having won two of their last five while Valladolid had managed just two draws in the same span. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Ceuta v Real Valladolid · La Liga 2 ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Carlos HernándezCEU★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.5
  2. Guillermo VallejoCEU90 min7.1
  3. Albert CaparrósCEU90 min7.1
  4. Miguel Rubio90 min7.0
  5. Luis Chacón89 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Ceuta win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CEU
40.1%
Draw
26.2%
REV
33.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Ceuta win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-3is the most common scoreline between Ceuta and Real Valladolid, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6league matches at home winless for Ceuta.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ceuta scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Valladolid scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ceuta have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Valladolid have averaged 0.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jordi Escobar has the highest listed average xGOT for Ceuta at 0.40 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Luis Chacón has the highest listed average xGOT for Real Valladolid at 0.76 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?
    CEU and REV drew 1-1 in the La Liga 2.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Juanmi Latasa opened the scoring in the 53rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Juanmi Latasa (53'), Carlos Hernández (101').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards and 2 red cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Saúl Ais Reig officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CEU vs REV kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    CEU play Cádiz on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. REV play Covadonga on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.