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La Liga 2 · MW7Ref: D. Miranda Bolaño
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Ceuta 3-1 Real Sociedad II result, stats and report

Ceuta
Won · xG 2.31
3 – 1
FT 00:25
Lost · xG 0.52
Real Sociedad II
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Tenerife v Ceuta · Sun 15 Nov · Sabadell v Real Sociedad II · Mon 9 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CeutaReal Sociedad IILa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Ceuta win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CEU
38.8%
Draw
26.1%
REA
35.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Ceuta win was the highest probability; the match result was Ceuta win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
26%
35%
38.8%CEU
26.1%Draw
35.1%REA

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.0%No 44.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.8%No 48.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CEU or draw at 53.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.1%.

Double Chance

1X
53.3%
12
6.7%
X2
40.0%

Half-Time Result

CEU
31.5%
Draw
44.3%
REA
24.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CEU
Draw
REA
CEU
23.7%
5.9%
2.3%
Draw
14.9%
16.5%
12.7%
REA
2.5%
5.6%
15.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.