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La Liga 2 · MW4Ref: Daniel Palencia Caballero
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Ceuta 0-2 Celta Fortuna result, stats and report

Ceuta
Lost · xG 0.56
0 – 2
FT
Won · xG 1.66
Celta Fortuna
Next: Ceuta v Oviedo · Sun 18 Oct · Celta Fortuna v Tenerife · Mon 19 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CeutaCelta FortunaLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Ceuta win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CEU
39.3%
Draw
26.1%
CEL
34.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.7%
Over 2.5 goals
48.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
26%
35%
39.3%CEU
26.1%Draw
34.6%CEL

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.7%No 47.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.6%No 51.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CEU or draw at 50.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.8%.

Double Chance

1X
50.5%
12
8.1%
X2
41.4%

Half-Time Result

CEU
29.9%
Draw
44.3%
CEL
25.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CEU
Draw
CEL
CEU
23.2%
5.4%
2.5%
Draw
14.6%
17.6%
12.3%
CEL
2.6%
4.4%
17.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.8%
No
95.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.