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UEFA Europa League · MW1Ref: Patrik Kolarić
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Celtic 1-3 Ferencvárosi result, stats and report

Celtic
Lost · xG 1.23
1 – 3
FT 12:35
Won · xG 1.44
Ferencvárosi
Next: Hibernian v Celtic · Sun 25 Oct · AC Milan v Ferencvárosi · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CelticFerencvárosiUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Celtic win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CEL
55.8%
Draw
22.3%
Ferencvárosi
21.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.2%
Over 2.5 goals
60.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Celtic win was the highest probability; the match result was Ferencvárosi win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
22%
22%
55.8%CEL
22.3%Draw
21.9%Ferencvárosi

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.2%No 41.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 60.1%No 39.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CEL or draw at 61.0%; the most likely half-time state is CEL leading at half-time at 43.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.2%.

Double Chance

1X
61.0%
12
4.5%
X2
34.4%

Half-Time Result

CEL
43.1%
Draw
36.4%
Ferencvárosi
20.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CEL
Draw
Ferencvárosi
CEL
33.0%
6.3%
1.8%
Draw
19.9%
11.5%
7.0%
Ferencvárosi
2.6%
4.3%
13.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.2%
No
87.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.