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La Liga · MW5 Abanca-Balaídos, VigoRef: Carlos Muñiz Muñoz
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Celta Vigo 1-1 Málaga result, stats and report

Celta Vigo
Drew · xG 1.34
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.53
Málaga
Next: Salamanca CF UDS v Celta Vigo · Wed 28 Oct · Sporting Alcázar v Málaga · Tue 27 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Celta VigoMálagaLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Celta Vigo win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Celta Vigo
40.1%
Draw
24.6%
MLA
35.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.4%
Over 2.5 goals
57.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Celta Vigo win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
25%
35%
40.1%Celta Vigo
24.6%Draw
35.2%MLA

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.4%No 40.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.2%No 42.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Celta Vigo or draw at 49.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.9%.

Double Chance

1X
49.7%
12
6.1%
X2
44.2%

Half-Time Result

Celta Vigo
30.3%
Draw
43.8%
MLA
25.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Celta Vigo
Draw
MLA
Celta Vigo
22.8%
5.0%
2.4%
Draw
14.9%
18.3%
11.8%
MLA
2.6%
4.7%
17.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.9%
No
93.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.