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La Liga · MW3 Abanca-Balaídos, VigoRef: Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club result, stats and report

Celta Vigo
Lost · xG 0.67
0 – 2
FT
Won · xG 2.04
Athletic Club
Next: Celta Vigo v Juventus · Thu 15 Oct · Valencia v Athletic Club · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Celta VigoAthletic ClubLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Celta Vigo win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Celta Vigo
37.5%
Draw
27.0%
Athletic Club
35.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.8%
Over 2.5 goals
49.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
27%
35%
37.5%Celta Vigo
27.0%Draw
35.4%Athletic Club

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.8%No 46.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.7%No 50.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Athletic Club or draw at 46.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.8%.

Double Chance

1X
45.9%
12
7.9%
X2
46.2%

Half-Time Result

Celta Vigo
28.2%
Draw
42.6%
Athletic Club
29.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Celta Vigo
Draw
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
20.6%
5.4%
2.5%
Draw
12.3%
17.1%
12.8%
Athletic Club
2.9%
5.1%
21.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.8%
No
95.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.