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La Liga · MW9 Abanca-Balaídos, VigoRef: José Luis Munuera Montero
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alaves result, stats and report

Celta Vigo
Won · xG 0.85
2 – 1
FT 02:05
Lost · xG 1.35
Deportivo Alaves
Next: Celta Vigo v Levante · Sun 8 Nov · Sevilla v Deportivo Alaves · Fri 6 Nov
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Who won Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves?

Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alaves, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Celta Vigo winning 1, Deportivo Alaves winning 1 and 0 drawn.

How it played out

Celta Vigo won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 02:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Celta Vigo 2–1 Deportivo Alaves

Celta Vigo ground out a 2-1 home win over Deportivo Alaves in La Liga, with goals from Ferran Jutgla and Javi Rodriguez settling the contest despite a late Alaves reply through Hugo Novoa.

Key Takeaways
Result

Celta Vigo beat Deportivo Alaves 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
F
53'⚽
Ferran Jutglà
JAssist: Javi Rodríguez
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo 0.85 xGDeportivo Alaves 1.35 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Celta Vigo to win

42%Matched

Result

Celta Vigo2:1Deportivo Alaves

Celta Vigo v Deportivo Alaves

Our model called Celta Vigo to win at 42%. Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alaves. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Celta Vigo defeated Deportivo Alaves 2-1 at Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga. Our model backed a Celta win at 42 percent probability, and the pick landed. Ferran Jutglà opened the scoring in the 53rd minute, then Javi Rodríguez doubled the lead in the 71st. Hugo Novoa pulled one back for Alaves in the 87th, but it proved too late. The hosts held on despite Alaves' recent form showing both sides had scored in 60 percent of their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Celta Vigo v Deportivo Alaves · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Javi RodríguezCelta Vigo★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.3
  2. Ionuț RaduCelta Vigo90 min8.3
  3. Sebastián CáceresCelta Vigo77 min7.6
  4. Antonio BlancoDeportivo Alaves88 min7.4
  5. Ferran JutglàCelta Vigo1 goal · 90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Celta Vigo win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.0%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Celta Vigo
42.0%
Draw
26.8%
Deportivo Alaves
31.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.5%
Over 2.5 goals
48.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Celta Vigo win was the highest probability; the match result was Celta Vigo win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Liga· published 04:00won
Over 2.5 goals

Logged at 2.25 with Grosvenor

Grosvenor offered 2.25 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.

Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record d17270ad-be18-4b3a-8aed-5da9e39e2217 · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 28 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Celta Vigo, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Celta Vigo, the final recorded goal situation matched 24 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Celta Vigo and Deportivo Alaves, landing 2 times across 18 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 8/18recorded league meetings saw both teams score (44.4%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Celta Vigo.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Deportivo Alaves.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Celta Vigo scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Deportivo Alaves scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves?
    Celta Vigo beat Deportivo Alaves 2-1 in the La Liga at Abanca-Balaídos.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ferran Jutglà opened the scoring in the 53rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ferran Jutglà (53'), Javi Rodríguez (71'), Hugo Novoa (87').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    José Luis Munuera Montero officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves kicked off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time at Abanca-Balaídos.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    4 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Celta Vigo play Levante on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. Deportivo Alaves play Sevilla on Friday, 6 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.