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Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alaves, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Celta Vigo winning 1, Deportivo Alaves winning 1 and 0 drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Celta Vigo ground out a 2-1 home win over Deportivo Alaves in La Liga, with goals from Ferran Jutgla and Javi Rodriguez settling the contest despite a late Alaves reply through Hugo Novoa.
Celta Vigo ground out a 2-1 home win over Deportivo Alaves in La Liga, with goals from Ferran Jutgla and Javi Rodriguez settling the contest despite a late Alaves reply through Hugo Novoa.
La LigaSun 18 Oct, 15:15
Key Takeaways
Result
Celta Vigo beat Deportivo Alaves 2-1 at home.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
F
53'⚽
Ferran Jutglà
JAssist: Javi Rodríguez
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo 0.85 xGDeportivo Alaves 1.35 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Celta Vigo to win
42%Matched
Result
2:1
Celta Vigo v Deportivo Alaves
Our model called Celta Vigo to win at 42%. Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alaves. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Celta Vigo defeated Deportivo Alaves 2-1 at Abanca-Balaídos in La Liga. Our model backed a Celta win at 42 percent probability, and the pick landed. Ferran Jutglà opened the scoring in the 53rd minute, then Javi Rodríguez doubled the lead in the 71st. Hugo Novoa pulled one back for Alaves in the 87th, but it proved too late. The hosts held on despite Alaves' recent form showing both sides had scored in 60 percent of their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Celta Vigo win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.0%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Celta Vigo
42.0%
Draw
26.8%
Deportivo Alaves
31.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.5%
Over 2.5 goals
48.0%
Full-time forecast audit: Celta Vigo win was the highest probability; the match result was Celta Vigo win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Liga· published 04:00won
Over 2.5 goals
GROSLogged at 2.25 with Grosvenor
Grosvenor offered 2.25 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record d17270ad-be18-4b3a-8aed-5da9e39e2217 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 28 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Celta Vigo, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Celta Vigo, the final recorded goal situation matched 24 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
0-1is the most common scoreline between Celta Vigo and Deportivo Alaves, landing 2 times across 18 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
8/18recorded league meetings saw both teams score (44.4%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
2league matches at home unbeaten for Celta Vigo.Immutable lifecycle evidence
4league matches away from home unbeaten for Deportivo Alaves.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Celta Vigo scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Deportivo Alaves scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves?