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La Liga 2 · MW8Ref: Marta Huerta de Aza
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Castellón 1-1 Ceuta result, stats and report

Castellón
Drew · xG 1.44
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 1.88
Ceuta
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Castellón v Sporting Gijón · Sun 25 Oct · Cádiz v Ceuta · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CastellónCeutaLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Castellón win the highest 1X2 probability at 67.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CAS
67.3%
Draw
20.1%
CEU
12.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.7%
Over 2.5 goals
56.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

67%
20%
13%
67.3%CAS
20.1%Draw
12.6%CEU

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 47.7%No 52.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.2%No 43.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CAS or draw at 73.9%; the most likely half-time state is CAS leading at half-time at 54.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 18.0%.

Double Chance

1X
73.9%
12
6.3%
X2
19.8%

Half-Time Result

CAS
54.7%
Draw
34.8%
CEU
10.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CAS
Draw
CEU
CAS
49.1%
3.5%
0.8%
Draw
20.3%
11.5%
3.7%
CEU
3.0%
2.8%
5.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
18.0%
No
82.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.