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Liga Portugal · MW6Ref: José Armando Torres Bessa
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Casa Pia 1-4 Porto result, stats and report

Casa Pia
Lost · xG 1.66
1 – 4
FT 13:35
Won · xG 2.74
Porto
Next: Vitória Guimarães v Porto · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Casa PiaPortoLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Porto win the highest 1X2 probability at 73.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CAS
8.6%
Draw
18.2%
POR
73.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
37.3%
Over 2.5 goals
48.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Porto win was the highest probability; the match result was Porto win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

18%
73%
8.6%CAS
18.2%Draw
73.2%POR

Both Teams to Score

37%
Yes 37.3%No 62.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.6%No 51.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-2
15.4%
0-1
15.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
0-0
7.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates POR or draw at 73.9%; the most likely half-time state is POR leading at half-time at 51.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 0.3%.

Double Chance

1X
18.3%
12
7.8%
X2
73.9%

Half-Time Result

CAS
10.3%
Draw
38.3%
POR
51.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CAS
Draw
POR
CAS
4.6%
2.5%
3.3%
Draw
3.7%
11.9%
20.5%
POR
0.6%
3.3%
49.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
0.3%
No
99.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.