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Liga Portugal · MW4Ref: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense result, stats and report

Casa Pia
Lost · xG 0.61
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 0.58
Moreirense
Next: Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Casa PiaMoreirenseLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Moreirense win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CAS
31.3%
Draw
29.4%
MOE
39.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.7%
Over 2.5 goals
41.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
29%
39%
31.3%CAS
29.4%Draw
39.3%MOE

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 46.7%No 53.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 41.6%No 58.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MOE or draw at 46.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.7%.

Double Chance

1X
43.2%
12
10.6%
X2
46.3%

Half-Time Result

CAS
24.9%
Draw
47.3%
MOE
27.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CAS
Draw
MOE
CAS
16.6%
4.8%
2.1%
Draw
11.8%
19.7%
14.7%
MOE
2.0%
4.6%
23.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.7%
No
97.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.