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FA CupRef: P. Marsden
Full time

This match had stats, momentum and in-play prices; no live commentary.

Carlisle United 1-0 Salford City result, stats and report

Carlisle United
Carlisle United
Won
1 – 0
FT
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Salford City v Northampton Town · Sat 14 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Carlisle UnitedSalford CityFA Cup

The provider forecast gives Salford City win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CAR
33.5%
Draw
23.3%
SAL
43.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.7%
Over 2.5 goals
60.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Salford City win was the highest probability; the match result was Carlisle United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
23%
43%
33.5%CAR
23.3%Draw
43.2%SAL

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.7%No 40.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 60.1%No 39.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SAL or draw at 50.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.0%.

Double Chance

1X
44.9%
12
5.0%
X2
50.1%

Half-Time Result

CAR
27.1%
Draw
41.3%
SAL
31.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CAR
Draw
SAL
CAR
18.0%
4.7%
3.6%
Draw
13.5%
14.0%
14.7%
SAL
2.3%
4.5%
24.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.0%
No
94.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.