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EFL Championship · MW10Ref: John Busby
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Cardiff City 5-1 Watford result, stats and report

Cardiff City
Won · xG 3.58
5 – 1
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 1.61
Watford
Next: Cardiff City v West Ham United · Wed 4 Nov · Watford v Lincoln City · Tue 3 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Cardiff CityWatfordEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Cardiff City win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CDF
59.5%
Draw
22.7%
Watford
17.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.6%
Over 2.5 goals
55.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Cardiff City win was the highest probability; the match result was Cardiff City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

60%
23%
18%
59.5%CDF
22.7%Draw
17.8%Watford

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.6%No 48.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.4%No 44.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CDF or draw at 61.2%; the most likely half-time state is CDF leading at half-time at 44.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.9%.

Double Chance

1X
61.2%
12
6.3%
X2
32.5%

Half-Time Result

CDF
44.8%
Draw
37.6%
Watford
17.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CDF
Draw
Watford
CDF
39.1%
4.3%
1.6%
Draw
18.6%
12.1%
5.9%
Watford
4.0%
5.1%
9.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.9%
No
87.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.