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EFL Championship · MW8Ref: Elliot Bell
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Cardiff City 3-1 Charlton result, stats and report

Cardiff City
Won · xG 2.82
3 – 1
FT 04:05
Lost · xG 0.60
Charlton
Next: Cardiff City v Birmingham · Sat 24 Oct · Charlton v Norwich · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Cardiff CityCharltonEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Cardiff City win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CDF
55.5%
Draw
24.2%
Charlton
20.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.9%
Over 2.5 goals
52.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Cardiff City win was the highest probability; the match result was Cardiff City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
24%
20%
55.5%CDF
24.2%Draw
20.3%Charlton

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.9%No 48.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.6%No 47.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CDF or draw at 58.6%; the most likely half-time state is CDF leading at half-time at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.2%.

Double Chance

1X
58.6%
12
7.2%
X2
34.2%

Half-Time Result

CDF
42.6%
Draw
35.8%
Charlton
21.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CDF
Draw
Charlton
CDF
34.6%
5.0%
2.3%
Draw
17.5%
12.8%
6.5%
Charlton
4.8%
5.3%
11.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.2%
No
88.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.