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Serie B · MW2Ref: Fabio Maresca
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Calcio Padova 1-1 Hellas Verona result, stats and report

Next: Calcio Padova v Virtus Entella · Sat 17 Oct · Hellas Verona v Catanzaro · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Calcio PadovaHellas VeronaSerie B

The provider forecast gives Calcio Padova win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAD
38.6%
Draw
29.3%
Hellas Verona
32.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.4%
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
29%
32%
38.6%PAD
29.3%Draw
32.1%Hellas Verona

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.4%No 51.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 42.9%No 57.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PAD or draw at 50.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 49.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.9%.

Double Chance

1X
50.0%
12
10.2%
X2
39.8%

Half-Time Result

PAD
29.7%
Draw
49.7%
Hellas Verona
20.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PAD
Draw
Hellas Verona
PAD
23.1%
4.7%
1.8%
Draw
17.0%
22.4%
10.0%
Hellas Verona
2.8%
4.5%
13.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.9%
No
96.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.