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Burton Albion 4-1 AFC Wimbledon result, stats and report

Burton Albion
Won ยท xG 0.96
4 โ€“ 1
FT
Lost ยท xG 0.91
AFC Wimbledon
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion ยท Sat 26 Sept ยท Cambridge United v AFC Wimbledon ยท Sat 26 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Burton AlbionAFC WimbledonLeague One

The provider forecast gives Burton Albion win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BRA
43.1%
Draw
26.8%
AWM
30.2%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
49.9%
Over 2.5 goals
44.6%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
27%
30%
43.1%BRA
26.8%Draw
30.2%AWM

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 49.9%No 50.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 44.6%No 55.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
7.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BRA or draw at 52.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.9%.

Double Chance

1X
52.5%
12
8.6%
X2
38.9%

Half-Time Result

BRA
32.2%
Draw
45.6%
AWM
22.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BRA
Draw
AWM
BRA
25.5%
4.7%
2.0%
Draw
16.8%
18.6%
10.2%
AWM
2.9%
5.0%
14.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.9%
No
95.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.