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EFL Championship · MW4 Turf Moor, BurnleyRef: Matt Donohue
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough result, stats and report

Burnley
Drew · xG 0.76
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.93
Middlesbrough
Next: Watford v Burnley · Sat 10 Oct · Middlesbrough v Wolves · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BurnleyMiddlesbroughEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Middlesbrough win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Burnley
31.5%
Draw
25.0%
Middlesbrough
43.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.7%
Over 2.5 goals
50.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
25%
43%
31.5%Burnley
25.0%Draw
43.5%Middlesbrough

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.7%No 48.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.1%No 49.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Middlesbrough or draw at 57.7%; the most likely half-time state is Middlesbrough leading at half-time at 42.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
34.7%
12
7.5%
X2
57.7%

Half-Time Result

Burnley
20.6%
Draw
37.4%
Middlesbrough
42.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Burnley
Draw
Middlesbrough
Burnley
12.6%
5.0%
3.7%
Draw
8.3%
14.0%
15.2%
Middlesbrough
1.7%
5.1%
34.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.