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La Liga 2 · MW12

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Burgos vs Castellón prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
1d 0h
BUR 28%Draw 26%CAS 47%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Burgos or Castellón?

Burgos vs Castellón kicks off UK time in La Liga 2. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 50.3% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Castellón won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

CAS has the highest forecast probability · Under 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
BUR27.7%
Draw25.7%
CAS46.6%
BTTS yes52.8%

Updated

Over 2.549.7%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

No current Match Facts coverage

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
6.7
xG · 5/6
10
Goals
7.6
xGA
Last 6 matches
7.4
xG · 5/6
13
Goals
6.8
xGA
Last 6 matches
BurgosNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Burgos recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W4Unavailable
2W31.55
3W12.34
4L01.48
5L10.85
6W10.45
CastellónNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Castellón recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W3Unavailable
2W41.18
3W32.33
4L00.93
5D11.44
6W21.48
Burgos have taken more points than their chances were worth: 9 points against 6.3 expected. Castellón have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 7.4 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Burgos generated 6.7 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 6, 0.7 below that chance total. Castellón generated 7.4 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 10, 2.6 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

BUR: 6 matches · CAS: 6
Recent team comparison. Burgos sample 6; Castellón sample 6.
MeasureBurgosCastellón
Goals / game1.672.17
Conceded / game1.170.33
xG / game1.341.48
xG conceded / game1.521.36
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 5 and 5 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Burgos v Castellón

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~16:30
BUR11 starters
13Cantero
8Sierra
22Martínez
12Miguel
14González
5Atienza
4Galdames
23Morante
21Córdoba
16Sánchez
9Niño
CAS11 starters
13Matthys
4Sienra
5Jiménez
22Mellot
8Barri
10Suero
6Doué
16Cipenga
19Jakobsen
18Santiago
9Camara
Out / doubtful
🩹 Fabrizio Brignani injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Burgos v Castellón · La Liga 2 ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Burgos vs Castellón?
    Burgos vs Castellón takes place on Sunday 1 November at 17:30 (UK time) in the La Liga 2.
  • Who is the model backing in Burgos vs Castellón?
    Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 50% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Burgos and Castellón?
    In their last 1 meetings, Burgos won 0, Castellón won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Burgos vs Castellón?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga 2 coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Burgos vs Castellón free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Burgos vs Castellón are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 1 Nov, 17:30 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.