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EFL Championship · MW3 Ashton Gate Stadium, BristolRef: James Bell
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Bristol City 2-1 Portsmouth result, stats and report

Bristol City
Won · xG 0.83
2 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 1.53
Portsmouth
Next: Charlton v Bristol City · Sat 10 Oct · Southampton v Portsmouth · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bristol CityPortsmouthEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bristol City win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Bristol City
42.3%
Draw
26.1%
Portsmouth
31.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.6%
Over 2.5 goals
52.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
26%
32%
42.3%Bristol City
26.1%Draw
31.6%Portsmouth

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.6%No 44.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.7%No 47.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bristol City or draw at 53.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.3%.

Double Chance

1X
53.4%
12
6.9%
X2
39.7%

Half-Time Result

Bristol City
32.8%
Draw
42.7%
Portsmouth
24.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Bristol City
Draw
Portsmouth
Bristol City
25.1%
5.1%
2.2%
Draw
14.9%
17.9%
10.2%
Portsmouth
2.7%
5.4%
16.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.3%
No
93.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.