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EFL Championship · MW6 Ashton Gate Stadium, BristolRef: Tim Robinson
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Bristol City 0-1 Lincoln City result, stats and report

Bristol City
Bristol City
Lost · xG 1.39
0 – 1
FT 13:35
Lincoln City
Won · xG 0.64
Lincoln City
Match review
Next: Middlesbrough v Bristol City · Sat 21 Nov · Lincoln City v Wrexham · Sat 21 Nov
Skip match sections

Who won Bristol City vs Lincoln City?

Bristol City 0-1 Lincoln City, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

How it played out

LNC won it 1–0

Bristol CityLNC

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 13:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln City

Lincoln City nicked all three points at Bristol City thanks to Freddie Draper's second-half strike, as the hosts dominated possession but lacked the cutting edge to make it count.

EFL ChampionshipTue 15 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Lincoln City won 1-0 away at Bristol City.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
F
53'⚽
Freddie Draper
BAssist: Ben House
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Bristol City 1.39 xGLincoln City 0.64 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Bristol City to win

40%Missed

Result

Bristol City0:1Lincoln City

Bristol City v LNC

Our model leaned Bristol City to win at 40%. Bristol City 0-1 Lincoln City. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Bristol City fell to Lincoln City 1-0 at Ashton Gate, with Freddie Draper scoring in the 53rd minute. Our model favoured a Bristol City win at 40 percent probability; the pick missed. Bristol City had won their previous match and registered both teams scoring in all five recent outings, yet failed to find the net here. Lincoln City arrived in strong form with three wins in their last five games and proved efficient in converting their chance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Bristol City v Lincoln City · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Rio CardinesBristol City★ MOTM90 min7.6
  2. Deji ElereweLNC90 min7.4
  3. Ben HouseLNC1 assist · 90 min7.4
  4. Adam ReachLNC71 min7.0
  5. Conor McGrandlesLNC90 min6.9

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bristol CityLincoln CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bristol City win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Bristol City
39.8%
Draw
25.8%
LNC
34.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.2%
Over 2.5 goals
54.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Bristol City win was the highest probability; the match result was Lincoln City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Lincoln City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bristol City scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bristol City have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Noah Eile has the highest listed average xGOT for Bristol City at 0.91 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mikkel Ladefoged has the highest listed average xGOT for Lincoln City at 0.87 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Bristol City vs Lincoln City?
    LNC beat Bristol City 1-0 in the EFL Championship at Ashton Gate Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Freddie Draper opened the scoring in the 53rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Freddie Draper (53').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tim Robinson officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Bristol City vs LNC kicked off on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 UK time at Ashton Gate Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    17 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Bristol City play Middlesbrough on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time. LNC play Lincoln City on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.