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Premier League · MW7 American Express Stadium, Falmer, East SussexRef: Robert Jones
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace result, stats and report

Brighton
Won · xG 2.39
5 – 0
FT 00:55
Lost · xG 0.56
Crystal Palace
Next: Getafe v Brighton · Thu 5 Nov · Crystal Palace v 1899 Hoffenheim · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BrightonCrystal PalacePremier League

The provider forecast gives Brighton win the highest 1X2 probability at 63.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Brighton
63.0%
Draw
21.1%
Crystal Palace
15.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.0%
Over 2.5 goals
58.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Brighton win was the highest probability; the match result was Brighton win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

63%
21%
16%
63.0%Brighton
21.1%Draw
15.9%Crystal Palace

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.0%No 47.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.5%No 41.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Brighton or draw at 66.1%; the most likely half-time state is Brighton leading at half-time at 51.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 15.4%.

Double Chance

1X
66.1%
12
5.1%
X2
28.8%

Half-Time Result

Brighton
51.3%
Draw
33.4%
Crystal Palace
15.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Brighton
Draw
Crystal Palace
Brighton
45.8%
3.9%
1.7%
Draw
17.7%
10.4%
4.5%
Crystal Palace
3.8%
4.8%
7.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
15.4%
No
84.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.