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EFL Championship · MW3Ref: Ben Speedie
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Lincoln City result, stats and report

Bolton Wanderers
Lost · xG 2.03
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 1.25
Lincoln City
Next: Wolves v Bolton Wanderers · Tue 13 Oct · Lincoln City v West Ham United · Wed 14 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bolton WanderersLincoln CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Bolton Wanderers win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BOL
47.6%
Draw
25.7%
LNC
26.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
26%
27%
47.6%BOL
25.7%Draw
26.7%LNC

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BOL or draw at 55.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.3%.

Double Chance

1X
55.5%
12
6.3%
X2
38.2%

Half-Time Result

BOL
37.3%
Draw
43.3%
LNC
19.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BOL
Draw
LNC
BOL
31.8%
5.0%
1.6%
Draw
16.3%
17.3%
8.0%
LNC
3.3%
5.2%
11.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.3%
No
91.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.