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League One · MW7Ref: Darren Drysdale
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Blackpool 2-4 Plymouth Argyle result, stats and report

Blackpool
Lost · xG 0.72
2 – 4
FT 04:55
Won · xG 2.37
Plymouth Argyle
Next: Sheffield Wednesday v Blackpool · Sun 1 Nov · Plymouth Argyle v Reading · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BlackpoolPlymouth ArgyleLeague One

The provider forecast gives Blackpool win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BLK
38.7%
Draw
27.0%
PLA
34.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.9%
Over 2.5 goals
51.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Blackpool win was the highest probability; the match result was Plymouth Argyle win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
27%
34%
38.7%BLK
27.0%Draw
34.3%PLA

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.9%No 45.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 51.4%No 48.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PLA or draw at 47.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.5%.

Double Chance

1X
45.1%
12
7.2%
X2
47.7%

Half-Time Result

BLK
31.3%
Draw
38.1%
PLA
30.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BLK
Draw
PLA
BLK
21.0%
5.7%
2.9%
Draw
11.1%
16.1%
12.3%
PLA
2.4%
5.9%
22.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.