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Birmingham 4-0 Preston, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Birmingham won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Birmingham put four past Preston without reply at St Andrew's, with August Priske Flyger grabbing a first-half brace and Stanley Mills seeing red for the visitors to seal a thoroughly deserved victory.
Birmingham put four past Preston without reply at St Andrew's, with August Priske Flyger grabbing a first-half brace and Stanley Mills seeing red for the visitors to seal a thoroughly deserved victory.
EFL ChampionshipTue 13 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Birmingham beat Preston 4-0 at home.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Birmingham 2.39 to Preston 0.73 on expected goals.
First Goal
L
34'⚽
Liam Millar
PAssist: Patrick Roberts
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham 2.39 xGPreston 0.73 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Birmingham to win
51%Matched
Result
4:0
Birmingham v Preston
Our model called Birmingham to win at 51%. Birmingham 4-0 Preston. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Birmingham dispatched Preston 4-0 at St Andrew's Stadium in the EFL Championship. Our model backed a Birmingham win at 51% probability, and the pick landed. The hosts dominated early; Liam Millar opened the scoring in the 34th minute, then August Priske Flyger added two goals in quick succession before half-time to put the contest beyond doubt. Preston offered little resistance and failed to register a shot on target. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Birmingham win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Birmingham
51.1%
Draw
26.7%
Preston
22.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.0%
Over 2.5 goals
42.7%
Full-time forecast audit: Birmingham win was the highest probability; the match result was Birmingham win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.