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UEFA Europa League · MW1Ref: Andrea Colombo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Beşiktaş 4-1 Marseille result, stats and report

Beşiktaş
Won · xG 1.84
4 – 1
FT 12:35
Lost · xG 0.98
Marseille
Next: Celtic v Beşiktaş · Thu 5 Nov · Marseille v Le Havre · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BeşiktaşMarseilleUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Beşiktaş win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BES
57.5%
Draw
20.6%
Marseille
21.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.4%
Over 2.5 goals
63.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Beşiktaş win was the highest probability; the match result was Beşiktaş win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
21%
22%
57.5%BES
20.6%Draw
21.9%Marseille

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.4%No 42.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.5%No 36.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BES or draw at 62.5%; the most likely half-time state is BES leading at half-time at 43.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 15.5%.

Double Chance

1X
62.5%
12
4.0%
X2
33.5%

Half-Time Result

BES
43.0%
Draw
36.3%
Marseille
20.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BES
Draw
Marseille
BES
36.2%
4.1%
1.6%
Draw
18.8%
11.6%
7.4%
Marseille
4.3%
3.8%
12.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
15.5%
No
84.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.