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Swiss Super League · MW9Ref: Sven Wolfensberger
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Basel 1-3 St. Gallen result, stats and report

Basel
Lost · xG 1.44
1 – 3
FT 04:05
Won · xG 1.79
St. Gallen
Next: Basel v Grasshopper · Sun 25 Oct · Young Boys v St. Gallen · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BaselSt. GallenSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives St. Gallen win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BAS
33.2%
Draw
24.6%
ST.
42.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.7%
Over 2.5 goals
57.9%

Full-time forecast audit: St. Gallen win was the highest probability; the match result was St. Gallen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
25%
42%
33.2%BAS
24.6%Draw
42.2%ST.

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.7%No 41.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.9%No 42.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ST. or draw at 50.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.7%.

Double Chance

1X
44.1%
12
5.7%
X2
50.1%

Half-Time Result

BAS
27.8%
Draw
36.7%
ST.
35.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BAS
Draw
ST.
BAS
20.4%
5.2%
3.5%
Draw
11.0%
12.0%
13.3%
ST.
2.8%
5.4%
26.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.7%
No
94.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.